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A "Black Swan" investor says there's a huge debt bubble and the Fed's policies will end in disaster. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. I don't think that should be a controversial statement." "Treasuries are not a safe haven, they're very much a hopeful haven. I think that they're pretty cheap right now, frankly, so I don't want to trash them too much.
Persons: there's, Mark, Treasuries, Spitznagel, , Mark Spitznagel, it's, They've, It's, Peter Lynch, I'm Organizations: Service, Universa Investments, Yahoo Finance
Jamie Dimon expects the Federal Reserve's war on inflation to shake markets at some point. Dimon warns overseas conflicts are a key concern and could hit the American economy. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAdvertisementInvestors should prepare for turmoil as the Federal Reserve forges ahead in fighting inflation, Jamie Dimon says. "It'll have an effect on the economy, and it may determine whether the economy goes to hard landing or soft landing," Dimon said.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , there's hasn't, Warren Buffett Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Yahoo Finance, Reserve, First Republic Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Europe, China
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon suspects the Fed may not be done hiking rates, per Yahoo. On Wednesday, the Fed said it would hold federal funds at rates steady in the 5.25% to 5.5% range. Dimon said the Fed may still hike rates by 0.25 percentage point to 0.75 percentage point. "I think they're right to pause here and see what happens," Dimon told Yahoo Finance Live just hours after the central bank's decision. On Wednesday, the Fed said it would hold the federal funds rate steady in the 5.25% to 5.5% range.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, , JPMorgan Chase Organizations: JPMorgan, Yahoo, Service, Federal Reserve, Yahoo Finance, Fed
And there's no relief coming for prospective homebuyers this winter, says a Goldman Sachs economist. "Prices are unlikely to decline meaningfully" because of the supply shortage, said David Mericle. AdvertisementAdvertisementProspective homebuyers shouldn't count on prices falling this winter – because there just aren't enough properties being put up for sale, according to a top Goldman Sachs economist. "Prices are unlikely to decline meaningfully, precisely because of the supply shortage," David Mericle, the chief US economist for the bank's global investment research division, told Yahoo Finance . But because of the supply shortage, I think the demand is still there for the market to clear at prices similar to where we are," Mericle said.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, , Mericle, Freddie Mac – Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Biden Administration, National Association of Realtors
Financial analyst Kevin Paffrath criticized Elon Musk's comments on Tesla's recent earnings call. AdvertisementAdvertisementIt's now clear that Tesla's third-quarter earnings call on Wednesday didn't exactly go as expected. CEO Elon Musk acted like "a little baby," financial analyst and YouTuber Kevin Paffrath recently told Yahoo Finance. He also described the call as "terrible" and said Musk was "almost in tears" at one point. Kevin Paffrath hit out at Elon Musk's comments on the Tesla earnings call.
Persons: Kevin Paffrath, Elon Musk's, Musk, , Elon Musk, Paffrath, Kevin, Tesla's, Tesla, who's, YouTube Tesla, Dan Ives Organizations: EV, Service, Yahoo Finance, Kevin YouTube, Elon, YouTube, Wedbush Securities Locations: Mexico
Caroline Ellison told jurors that Sam Bankman-Fried curated his image, especially his messy hair. Ellison said he believed his hair was "essential to his image" and was the reason for past bonuses. AdvertisementAdvertisementSam Bankman-Fried had a carefully curated image — unruly hair and all — according to his ex-girlfriend Caroline Ellison. Additionally, Bankman-Fried encouraged Ellison to have a Twitter in order to generate positive press for the company, she said. Bankman-Fried told Yahoo Finance Live in April 2022 before FTX collapsed.
Persons: Caroline Ellison, Sam Bankman, Fried, Ellison, , FTX, didn't, — Ellison, he'd, Jane Street, Bankman, Sam Bankman Fried, Michael Lewis, It's, Lewis Organizations: Toyota Corolla, Service, Alameda Research, Honda, Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, FTX Locations: Manhattan, Alameda, Bankman, Bahamas, FTX
Yahoo FinanceHowever, six leading fixed income investors are confident that the pain won't last much longer. Michele continued: "I've been doing this since 1981, so I've seen a decade of double-digit bond yields with disinflation. Alex Petrone, the director of fixed income at Rockefeller Asset Management, agreed that it's too soon to write off a recession. Nailing timing helps maximize returns, though fixed income experts said that's difficult because the Fed's policy decisions are unpredictable. Buying Treasuries and municipal coupons on both the long and short ends of the curve are how she recommends playing fixed income.
Persons: Jonathan Mondillo, you've, Bob Michele, Michele, I've, we'll, Federal Reserve —, Robert Robis, Robis, Alex Petrone, it's, Petrone, Mary Daly, David Schiffman, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, Mondillo, Schiffman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, JPMorgan Asset Management, isn't, Federal Reserve, BCA Research, Rockefeller Asset Management, Fed, San Francisco Fed, Aquila Investment Management, Vanguard's Investment, Investment Locations: Scotland, bottoming, Abrdn, Aquila, Treasuries, CCC
Hollywood writers and actors have been on strike for over four months. The impact on California's economy has been enormous – reaching almost $5 billion. Caterers, dry cleaners, drivers, and other small enterprises are among those most affected, says one researcher. Todd Holmes, an entertainment industry professor at Cal State Northridge, had predicted a $3 billion blow to California's economy in the first 100 days of the strike. AdvertisementAdvertisementAs a result, Hollywood studios have begun delaying new releases, as strike rules prohibit actors from promoting their films.
Persons: AFTRA, Kevin Klowden, , Klowden, Todd Holmes Organizations: Service, Writers Guild of America, SAG, Milken Institute, Financial Times, Yahoo Finance, Cal State Northridge, Hollywood Locations: Wall, Silicon, Los Angeles
AdvertisementAdvertisementThe Meta CEO told staff they could expect him to spend half of the next year working remotely. True to his word, in his first week Musk banned remote work in a 2:30 a.m email to Twitter staff. Still: Unlike some of the other wealthy CEOs on this list, Eric Yuan has always been a little skeptical of permanent remote work. Roy RochlinSalesforce CEO Marc Benioff was initially outspoken in his support for remote working. Joining the growing list of CEOs that say remote work is not conducive to productivity, Salesforce revised its work-from-anywhere strategy.
Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Goldman Sachs, Prithwiraj Choudhury, Zuckerberg, Meta, I've, Erin Scott, Skip, Insider's Kali Hays, Hugh Langley, Evan Spiegel, Miranda Kerr, Pierre Mouton, Stringer, Spiegel, I'm, ERIC PIERMONT, Kali Hays, Jack Dorsey, PRAKASH SINGH, lockdowns, Dorsey, Elon Musk, Musk, Zoe Schiffer, hasn't, Eric Yuan, Kena, Zoom, Kelly Steckelberg, Yuan, Marc Benioff, Roy Rochlin, Salesforce, Benioff, Justin Sullivan, Kara Swisher Organizations: Service, Meta, Harvard Business School, Wall Street, Staff, CNBC, Getty, Twitter, San, New, Elon, San Francisco, Bloomberg, Zoom, Workers, MarketWatch, Smith, Yahoo Finance, Insider Locations: Wall, Silicon, San Francisco, Singapore, Silicon Valley , California
They likened the current environment to the dot-com bubble around 2000. Cole told Insider he thinks the S&P 500 will lose at least 30% of its value in the years ahead. "This financial euphoria episode has gone to a sustained high that makes the dot-com bubble look like small change," he wrote in the August 22 letter. Smead is the founder of Smead Capital Management and comanages the Smead Value Fund (SMVLX) with his son, Cole. Don't take that to mean the S&P 500 will deliver low returns every year until 2033.
Persons: Cole Smead, Cole, Bill Smead, Smead, Russell, Akin Oyedele, It's, Manias, Bill, Dubravko Lakos, Lakos Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Yahoo Finance, it's, Netflix, Visa, Mastercard, Paypal, Smead, Federal, JPMorgan, CNBC, Conference
U.S. bond investors nonetheless dialled back their bets of a rate hike in November and December following Powell's remarks, though Treasury yields traded near break-even by late morning. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was steady at 4.2314% and the two-year yield, which reflects interest rate expectations, rose to 5.0735%. "We've seen a back-off in ECB rate hike expectations. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Yahoo Finance's video channel that rates may be near or at a peak, "but certainly additional increments are possible." Tokyo consumer price data on Friday, which front-runs nationwide figures, showed inflation remained well above the Bank of Japan's target.
Persons: Toby Melville, Jerome Powell, Powell, David Sadkin, Dow Jones, Christine, Lagarde, Ben Laidler, Patrick Harker, Susan Collins, Shaun Osborne, Joseph Capurso, Kazuo Ueda, Jackson, Brent, Samuel Indyk, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong, Mark Potter, Chizu Nomiyama, Susan Fenton, Diane Craft, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Bel Air Investment Advisors, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC, Boston, Yahoo, U.S, Scotiabank, Bank of, Bank of Japan, CBA, West Texas, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Asia, Tokyo
If you're a bear, you heard him say we're going to be restrictive, and we might hike rates," said David Sadkin, president at Bel Air Investment Advisors. U.S. rates investors nonetheless dialled back their bets of a rate hike in November and December following Powell's remarks, though Treasury yields traded near break-even by late morning. "We've seen a back off in ECB rate hike expectations. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Yahoo Finance's video channel that rates may be near or at a peak, "but certainly additional increments are possible." Tokyo consumer price data on Friday, which front-runs nationwide figures, showed inflation remained well above the Bank of Japan's target.
Persons: Toby Melville, Jerome Powell, Powell, David Sadkin, Dow Jones, Christine, Lagarde, Ben Laidler, Patrick Harker, Susan Collins, Shaun Osborne, Joseph Capurso, Kazuo Ueda, Jackson, Brent, Samuel Indyk, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong, Mark Potter, Chizu Nomiyama, Susan Fenton Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Bel Air Investment Advisors, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Philadelphia Fed, CNBC, Boston, Yahoo, U.S, Scotiabank, Bank of, Bank of Japan, CBA, West Texas, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Asia, Tokyo
Stocks swoon, dollar firms as Powell speech looms
  + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Kevin Buckland | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Crude oil found its footing around one-month lows, but remained on course for a second weekly decline amid a firmer dollar and simmering China-centred worries about global growth. "However, there is also no real reason for Powell to strike a dovish tone," he added, "and that could mean an ugly end to the week for stocks, while the dollar shines." Against Japan's currency , the dollar edged tentatively back toward last week's nine-month high of 146.545, trading as strong as 146.21. In energy markets, crude prices rose slightly on Friday, but remained on track for weekly declines of between 1.5-2.5%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Kazuo Ueda, Christine Lagarde, Powell, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Patrick Harker, Susan Collins, Joseph Capurso, Brent, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, Federal, People's Bank of, Bank, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Nvidia, Advantest, Fed, Boston Philadelphia Fed, CNBC, Yahoo, U.S, Bank of Japan, CBA, Treasury, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, . U.S, China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Tokyo, Jackson
[1/2] Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins stands behind the Jackson Lake Lodge in Jackson Hole, where the Kansas City Fed holds its annual economic symposium, in Wyoming, U.S., August 24, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Saphir Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Aug 24 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said Thursday the central bank may be in a place where it doesn't need to raise rates again, while keeping open the option for more action. "We may be near, we could even be at a place where we would hold" and not raise rates further, Collins said in an interview on Yahoo Finance's video channel. Collins spoke on the sidelines of the Kansas City Fed's annual research conference in Jackson Hole, Wyo. Reporting by Michael S. DerbyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Susan Collins, Ann Saphir, Collins, Michael S Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Kansas City Fed, REUTERS, Yahoo, Kansas City, Market Committee, Derby, Thomson Locations: Jackson, Wyoming, U.S, Kansas
AI chipmaker Nvidia posted record second-quarter revenues of $13.51 billion. One jubilant analyst made a bold call: He thinks Nvidia will be the "most important company to civilization" in the next decade. Even Daniel Ives, an analyst at Wedbush Securities, gushed in a tweet: "It's all about AI demand and use cases. "AI needs specialized chips to run on, and trillions worth of processing chips will be up for replacement through this decade." Dessai added there are other opportunities for AI chips as they eventually make their way into other products including smartphones, laptops, cars, and medical devices.
Persons: Angelo Zino, Daniel Ives, Dessai Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Yahoo Finance, Wedbush Securities, gushed, Tejas, Global Locations: Wall, Silicon
Sarah PaynterSarah Paynter is a reporter covering luxury residences for The Wall Street Journal’s Mansion section. She writes about listings and sales of high-priced houses, specializing in transactions on the east half of the U.S., from Greenwich, Conn., to Savannah, Ga., to Chicago. She also spotlights amenity and design trends in luxury houses and chronicles changes in luxury markets. Sarah has bylines at Yahoo Finance, the Real Deal, the New York Post and Newsday. She graduated from Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism with the Philip Greer Award for excellence in financial journalism.
Persons: Sarah Paynter Sarah Paynter, Sarah, Philip Greer Organizations: Yahoo Finance, New York Post, Newsday, Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism Locations: U.S, Greenwich, Conn, Savannah, Ga, Chicago
Stock investors are delusional if they expect a "no landing" scenario, PNC's Amanda Agati says. The Fed can't conquer inflation without triggering a recession, the bank's chief investor says. Agati points to the inverted yield curve as a warning sign that an economic downturn is looming. "The equity market is still delusional," PNC Asset Management Group's chief investor, Amanda Agati, told Yahoo Finance on Tuesday. It's "totally focused on no landing — the Fed is effectively pulling off mission impossible and getting inflation under control without tipping us into recession," she continued.
Persons: Amanda Agati, It's, Agati Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, PNC, Management Group's, Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq Locations: Wall, Silicon
Based on five companies' responses, hybrid work is thriving right now. The spokesperson noted that the company believes both hybrid work and flexibility aren't going anywhere. EYOutside of the tech sector, companies are also prioritizing hybrid work. Still, Giampietro noted the challenge of hybrid work for meeting with clients, as some of "those clients may not be in as frequently or may not want us in as frequently." Reach out to this reporter at mhoff@insider.com to share your story and how you feel about your company's current remote, hybrid, or in-person work policy.
Persons: Yahoo Finance's Daniel Howley, We've, Ryan Lamont, Lamont, we're, Fiona Cicconi, Chris Schmidt, Schmidt, Frank Giampietro, EY, Giampietro, McKinsey & Company Katy George, George Organizations: Microsoft, Service, Gallup, IBM, Google, Microsoft Microsoft, Yahoo, Google Google, Street, Alphabet Workers, Alphabet Workers Union, CWA, McKinsey & Company, McKinsey Locations: Wall, Silicon, New York City, Americas
The yen touched a six-week low of 144.89 per dollar in early trade, though volumes were thinned owing to a public holiday in Japan. Its stock markets were closed and Treasuries went untraded in the Asia session. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 0.7% with stocks in Hong Kong and China the biggest drag. Headline U.S. CPI was 0.2% last month, the same as a month earlier, and the details were encouraging - with core goods inflation slowing down and only rents proving stubbornly sticky. DOLLAR GAINSIn foreign exchange markets, choppy trade in the wake of the inflation data left the dollar on course for a weekly gain.
Persons: Issei Kato, Treasuries, Mary Daly, Andrew Lilley, Philip Lowe, Nozomu Ogawa, Sally Auld, JB, There's, HSI, Tom Westbrook, Muralikumar Anantharaman Organizations: REUTERS, SYDNEY, Headline U.S, CPI, San Francisco Fed, Yahoo Finance, Daiwa, Markets, HK, Chevron, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, China, Sydney, New York, Australia
Asia stocks slip as US CPI fails to enthuse; dollar up
  + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Passersby are reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. The yen touched a six-week low of 144.89 per dollar in early trade on Friday, though volumes were thinned owing to a public holiday in Japan. Its stock markets were closed and Treasuries went untraded in the Asia session. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) edged 0.2% lower and headed for a 1% weekly loss. In stock markets, Chinese property stocks were taking a fresh beating on giant developer Country Garden (2007.HK), which is struggling with its debts, forecasting a $7.6 billion net loss in the first half.
Persons: Issei Kato, Treasuries, Mary Daly, Andrew Lilley, Sally Auld, JB, Tom Westbrook, Muralikumar Organizations: REUTERS, U.S ., Headline U.S, CPI, San Francisco Fed, Yahoo Finance, U.S . Treasury, HK, Star Entertainment, Chevron, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Sydney, New York, Hong Kong, Alibaba, HK, New South Wales, Woodside, WDS.AX
Campbell Soup is acquiring the parent company of Rao's pasta sauce for $2.7 billion. Fans of the product are going on social media to mourn the end of Rao's saucy goodness. The social media backlash has driven the company's CEO to say they won't "touch the sauce." But within hours of the announcement on Tuesday, social media was rife with fans concerned about the fate of their beloved sauce. "I appreciate all the encouragement on social media, but we are not going to change it," he said, referring to the pasta sauce.
Persons: Campbell, it's, Mark Clouse, Campbell Soup, Clouse, Frank Pellegrino Sr, Campbell's, Sovos Organizations: Service, Twitter, Yahoo Finance, New, Sovos Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Yorks, American
Daly: Premature to say if Fed has done enough on rates
  + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
"Whether we raise another time, or hold rates steady for a longer period -- those things are yet to be determined," Daly said in an interview with Yahoo Finance. "It would be premature to project what I think would happen because there's a lot of information coming in between now and our next meeting." While goods inflation is receding, and newly signed lease trends signal inflation from housing will also cool, core services inflation excluding housing has so far made little progress, Daly said. The Fed raised its policy a quarter of a percentage point last month, to a range of 5.25% to 5%, and policymakers will consider whether to raise rates further when they meet again in September, November and December. Daly before the most recent rate hike had thought a total of two more interest-rate increases would likely be needed before year's end, but she did not reiterate that view on Thursday.
Persons: Mary Daly, Daly, Ann Saphir, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Yahoo Finance, U.S . Labor Department, Fed, Traders, Thomson
The Consumer Price Index rose at a 3.2% annual rate in July, which was a slight increase over June's 3% reading. Typically, that would be associated with a jump in unemployment as businesses and consumers scale back. Yet the unemployment rate has remained below 4% -- low for the U.S. -- since February 2022, and stood at 3.5% as of last month. Others feel the economy remains slow to adjust to higher interest rates, and that the unemployment rate will ultimately rise before the Fed finishes its inflation fight. The current Fed "has been uniquely successful thus far in lowering inflation while leaving the unemployment rate at its lowest levels in roughly half a century," they wrote, with the potential that policy tightening so far "may bring about further declines in inflation without a dramatic rise in the unemployment rate.
Persons: Bryan Woolston, Pierre, Daniel Sarte, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, Mary Daly, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci, Christina Fincher, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Kentucky, Center, REUTERS, Bryan Woolston WASHINGTON, . Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Fed, Graphics, North, Capital Economics, Traders, San Francisco Fed, Yahoo Finance, U.S, Thomson Locations: Frankfort , Kentucky, U.S, North America
Morning Bid: A sticky inflation situation
  + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
With a relentless set of rate hikes, the Federal Reserve has managed to drive consumer price increases down to 3%, from last June's 9.1%. The Atlanta Fed compiles an index of core sticky consumer prices - goods or services for which the cost changes far more slowly. Reuters GraphicsLine chart with data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and Federal Reserve shows PCE inflation slowed to 3% year-on-year in June, while core PCE inflation also eased to 4.2%. Chart shows economists polled by Reuters expecting the U.S. consumer price index to have increased 0.2% in July 2023 from the previous month, the same pace as June 2023. * Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic gives welcome remarks at a webinar, 1500 EDT/1900 GMT.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Amanda Cooper, they're, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, American Automobile Association, Federal Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Atlanta Fed, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Yahoo Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Manheim
For Disney, Iger's return was a doctor's-orders scenario. "What is the long game for any pure-play media company in a world where we have tech-driven media companies that are much larger than any traditional media company and have fundamentally different business models?" Will Disney sell TV assets like ABC? Industry watchers have focused on private-equity firms as likely buyers of Disney's TV assets. Are you a Disney insider?
Persons: Bob Iger, Bob Chapek, Iger, Disney, Iger's, Peter Csathy, Tom Staggs, Kevin Mayer, Csathy, they're, He's, Paul Verna, Verna, David Heger, Edward Jones, Heger, Hulu —, it's, Dave Portnoy's Barstool, Will, Evercore, Dana Walden, Alan Bergman, Puck, Disney bigwigs, Mayer, Walden, Bergman, Reed Alexander, Lucia Moses Organizations: Disney, ESPN, Walt Disney Co, Hollywood, Creative Media, Apple, PE, Candle Media, Insider Intelligence, Hulu, LightShed Partners, Penn Entertainment, ESPN Bet, Penn, Yahoo Finance, Will Disney, ABC, Geographic, CNBC, Industry, Disney's, Parks
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